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Friday, November 5, 2010
Sunday, October 24, 2010
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Sunday, March 7, 2010
ELIOT WAVE STUDY- II
WAVE CALCULATION
USED FOR PRICE CALCULATION
1) Wave 2 is 0.618 times Wave 1
2) Wave 3 is 1.618 times Wave 1
3) Wave 4 is 0.382 times Wave 3
4) Wave 5 is equal to Wave 1
5) Wave A is 0.382 times Wave 5
6) Wave B is 0.618 times Wave A
7) Wave C is equal to Wave A
USED FOR TIME CALCULATION
1) Wave 2 is 0.618 times Wave 1
2) Wave 3 is equal to the sum of time between Wave 1 and Wave 2
3) Wave 4 is 1.382 times Wave 2
4) Wave 5 is 1.382 times Wave 4
5) ABC waves is half in length to 12345 waves
6) Wave A and Wave C are of same time duration.
7) Wave B is 0.618 times Wave A
USED FOR PRICE CALCULATION
1) Wave 2 is 0.618 times Wave 1
2) Wave 3 is 1.618 times Wave 1
3) Wave 4 is 0.382 times Wave 3
4) Wave 5 is equal to Wave 1
5) Wave A is 0.382 times Wave 5
6) Wave B is 0.618 times Wave A
7) Wave C is equal to Wave A
USED FOR TIME CALCULATION
1) Wave 2 is 0.618 times Wave 1
2) Wave 3 is equal to the sum of time between Wave 1 and Wave 2
3) Wave 4 is 1.382 times Wave 2
4) Wave 5 is 1.382 times Wave 4
5) ABC waves is half in length to 12345 waves
6) Wave A and Wave C are of same time duration.
7) Wave B is 0.618 times Wave A
Tuesday, March 2, 2010
BUTGET EFFECT - STOCK WISE
1. Positive Announcement
Likely To Benefit Scripts
2.Rs. 25,000 Crore Disinvestment
Hind Copper, NMDC
3.RBI Mulling giving banking licences to Pvt.Players & NBFC's
Tata Investment,Rel Capital, Ind.Lease Development, IL&FS
4.Extended Interest subvention for export credit for 1 year
Rajesh Export,S Kumar,Timex,Emmby Poly
5.Recapitalisation of Banks(RRB)
UCO,CBI,Dena,Syndicate
6.Rs. 300 Crore for Agri Inputs
Rungta Irrigation
7.42% higher allocation for Infrastructure
RIIL,GTL Infra,Sobha,Ultratech Cement
8.Increase Allocation for road projects by 13%
IRB infra,RIIL,LT,Ultratech Cement
9.Power Capacity more than double allocation
R Power,JP Power,Suzlon,Websol
10.61% more fund allocation for renewable enerdy development
Websol,Suzlon,JP Power
11.Clean Energy Fund
Websol,Suzlon,JP Power
12.Extended Interest subvention for low cost housing
Sobha,LIC,ICICI,Gruh Fin.,Ind.lease
13.Allocates Rs. 19 Bln for Unique ID project
Geodesic,Bartronics
14.MAT increased to 18% from 15%
All co's paying higher MAT will have negative impact
15.Surcharge Tax reduced to 7.5% from 10%
All co's paying higher ST will have positive impact
16.Rs.16,500 Crore allocation to PSU banks
PSU Banks
17.Rs.400 Crore for Green Eastern States
Rungta Irrigation
18.To Set up more 5 mega food park
Godrej Consumer,Godrej Ind.
19.To provide Facility for storage like cold storage,Cold room
BOC
20.To provide finance of Rs. 25000 Crore in next 3 years for infrastructure
Infrasturcture companies like RIIL,GTL Infra
21.Competitive bidding process for allocation coal blocks
RNRL,Sesagoa,Guj NRE,Electrosteel Casting
22.Solar,Small hydro & micro power projects of Rs. 500 Crore
JP Power,Websol
23.Rs.200 Crore Grant for Knitwear industry
TT,Emmby Poly
24.16% more allocation & state alllocation of Rs.3675 crores for education
Educomp,Everon,Hathway Cable
25.Almost Rs.3000 crore more alllocation for health
Indraprashth Medi,Fortis
26.Rs.66,100 crore provided for Rural Development
Godrej Ind.,Rungta Irrigation,RCF,NFL
27.Cash Allocation for Fertilizer companies
RCF,NFL
28.Rs.48,000 Crore allocated for rural dev.under Bharat Nirman
Sobha,Godrej Ind.,RIIL,GTL Infra
29.Rs.1270 Crore allocated to Rajiv Awas Yojana
Sobha
30.National Skill Development
Educomp,Everon,Hathway Cable
31.Increase Allocation for Defense
BEL,BEML,Ashok Leyland
32.To Encourage R&D of Science & Lab, weighted deduction increased
Anu Lab,Sandu Pharma,Wanbury,Jupitor Bio,Glenmark
33.To Encourage R&D of Statistical Research weighted deduction increased
Crisil
34.Full Exemption from customs duty to refrigeration units
BOC,Whirlpool,Godrej
35.Full Exemption from customs duty to Trailers & Semi Trailers
VST Tillers, M&M
36.Exempt the testing & certification of Agri seed from ST
Kaveri Seed,Advanta
37.Cereals & pulses transportation to be exempt from service tax
Nutraplus Products
38.Solar photovolatic & solar thermal power gen units exempted
Websol,Moser baer
39.Blades for wind energy generators from CED
Suzlon
40.CED reduced to 4% for LED light
MIC Electronics
41Exemption for mobile phone accessories,parts of batter chargers
Spice,Videocon
42.Exemption for medical equipments
Span Diagno
43.Toy Ballons fully exempted from CED
OK play,Hanung Toys
44.Reduction in CED on household type water filter
Ion Exchange,Hind Liver
45.Reduction in CED on corrugated boxes & cartons
Ras propack,Essel Packaging,Karur KCP
46.Partial rollback of excise duty relief on large cars
Negative Impact onM&M,Maruti,Telco
47.No import duty on some equipment in road projects
Guj Appollo Equipments
48.Petroleum products: basic excise duty of 5% crude, 7.5% on diesel & petrol; 10% on other products
RIL,IOC,BPCL,HPCL will impact negatively
49.Real estate sector now gets 5 years for completion instead of 4 years before
Sobha
50.Microwave oven's part exempted
Whirlpool,Godrej
51.Infrastructure Boost
Sobha,RIIL,Ultratech Cement
52.Surcharge Reduction
FMCG like Godrej Ind,Godrej Consumer
53.Hotel Industries
Hotel Leela
Likely To Benefit Scripts
2.Rs. 25,000 Crore Disinvestment
Hind Copper, NMDC
3.RBI Mulling giving banking licences to Pvt.Players & NBFC's
Tata Investment,Rel Capital, Ind.Lease Development, IL&FS
4.Extended Interest subvention for export credit for 1 year
Rajesh Export,S Kumar,Timex,Emmby Poly
5.Recapitalisation of Banks(RRB)
UCO,CBI,Dena,Syndicate
6.Rs. 300 Crore for Agri Inputs
Rungta Irrigation
7.42% higher allocation for Infrastructure
RIIL,GTL Infra,Sobha,Ultratech Cement
8.Increase Allocation for road projects by 13%
IRB infra,RIIL,LT,Ultratech Cement
9.Power Capacity more than double allocation
R Power,JP Power,Suzlon,Websol
10.61% more fund allocation for renewable enerdy development
Websol,Suzlon,JP Power
11.Clean Energy Fund
Websol,Suzlon,JP Power
12.Extended Interest subvention for low cost housing
Sobha,LIC,ICICI,Gruh Fin.,Ind.lease
13.Allocates Rs. 19 Bln for Unique ID project
Geodesic,Bartronics
14.MAT increased to 18% from 15%
All co's paying higher MAT will have negative impact
15.Surcharge Tax reduced to 7.5% from 10%
All co's paying higher ST will have positive impact
16.Rs.16,500 Crore allocation to PSU banks
PSU Banks
17.Rs.400 Crore for Green Eastern States
Rungta Irrigation
18.To Set up more 5 mega food park
Godrej Consumer,Godrej Ind.
19.To provide Facility for storage like cold storage,Cold room
BOC
20.To provide finance of Rs. 25000 Crore in next 3 years for infrastructure
Infrasturcture companies like RIIL,GTL Infra
21.Competitive bidding process for allocation coal blocks
RNRL,Sesagoa,Guj NRE,Electrosteel Casting
22.Solar,Small hydro & micro power projects of Rs. 500 Crore
JP Power,Websol
23.Rs.200 Crore Grant for Knitwear industry
TT,Emmby Poly
24.16% more allocation & state alllocation of Rs.3675 crores for education
Educomp,Everon,Hathway Cable
25.Almost Rs.3000 crore more alllocation for health
Indraprashth Medi,Fortis
26.Rs.66,100 crore provided for Rural Development
Godrej Ind.,Rungta Irrigation,RCF,NFL
27.Cash Allocation for Fertilizer companies
RCF,NFL
28.Rs.48,000 Crore allocated for rural dev.under Bharat Nirman
Sobha,Godrej Ind.,RIIL,GTL Infra
29.Rs.1270 Crore allocated to Rajiv Awas Yojana
Sobha
30.National Skill Development
Educomp,Everon,Hathway Cable
31.Increase Allocation for Defense
BEL,BEML,Ashok Leyland
32.To Encourage R&D of Science & Lab, weighted deduction increased
Anu Lab,Sandu Pharma,Wanbury,Jupitor Bio,Glenmark
33.To Encourage R&D of Statistical Research weighted deduction increased
Crisil
34.Full Exemption from customs duty to refrigeration units
BOC,Whirlpool,Godrej
35.Full Exemption from customs duty to Trailers & Semi Trailers
VST Tillers, M&M
36.Exempt the testing & certification of Agri seed from ST
Kaveri Seed,Advanta
37.Cereals & pulses transportation to be exempt from service tax
Nutraplus Products
38.Solar photovolatic & solar thermal power gen units exempted
Websol,Moser baer
39.Blades for wind energy generators from CED
Suzlon
40.CED reduced to 4% for LED light
MIC Electronics
41Exemption for mobile phone accessories,parts of batter chargers
Spice,Videocon
42.Exemption for medical equipments
Span Diagno
43.Toy Ballons fully exempted from CED
OK play,Hanung Toys
44.Reduction in CED on household type water filter
Ion Exchange,Hind Liver
45.Reduction in CED on corrugated boxes & cartons
Ras propack,Essel Packaging,Karur KCP
46.Partial rollback of excise duty relief on large cars
Negative Impact onM&M,Maruti,Telco
47.No import duty on some equipment in road projects
Guj Appollo Equipments
48.Petroleum products: basic excise duty of 5% crude, 7.5% on diesel & petrol; 10% on other products
RIL,IOC,BPCL,HPCL will impact negatively
49.Real estate sector now gets 5 years for completion instead of 4 years before
Sobha
50.Microwave oven's part exempted
Whirlpool,Godrej
51.Infrastructure Boost
Sobha,RIIL,Ultratech Cement
52.Surcharge Reduction
FMCG like Godrej Ind,Godrej Consumer
53.Hotel Industries
Hotel Leela
Sunday, February 28, 2010
ELLIOT WAVE STUDY- 1 (GANN DATES)
IMPORTANT DATES FOR CHANGE IN THE MAJOR TREND
The following dates should be watched for important changes in the major trend of both Industrial and Railroad
stocks. If any stock makes top or bottom around any of these dates, you can expect a reversal in trend,
especially if there is a sharp decline or a sharp advance around these dates: Feb 8th to 10th, March 21st to 23rd,
May 3rd to 7th, June 20th to 24th, August 3rd to 8th, Sept 21st to 24th, Nov. 8th to 11th, Dec. 20th to 24th. These dates
are based upon a permanent cycle, which does not change. Important dates are based upon a permanent cycle,
which does not change. Important tops and bottoms are made in many stocks every year around these times.
Watch the stocks that reach extreme high or low levels around these dates.
DATES FOR ACTIVITY AND WIDE FLUCTUATIONS
The following dates indicate times when stocks will be very active and have wide fluctuations, making tops and
bottoms. While all stocks will not make tops and bottoms around these dates, some of the most active ones will
and if you watch the ones that turn around these dates, it will prove helpful in your trading:
January 5th to 7th, 12th to 15th, 18th to 24th
February 9th to 12th, 20th to 22nd, and 27th to 28th.
March 10th to 11th, very important for change in trend; 21st to 22nd important; 28th to 29th another very important
date for change.
April 3rd, 9th to 10th, 13th to 15th, 21st to 23rd.
May 3rd to 4th watch stocks that make top around this date; 9th to 11th another important date when some
stocks will make bottom and other stocks will make top. 22nd to 23rd and 29th to 31st very important dates for
change in trend; watch for stocks that will make top around this date.
June 1st to 2nd quite important; 7th to 10th another important change; 21st to 23rd a more important change.
July 3rd to 5th very important for change in trend; 9th to 10th also quite important; 21st to 24th more important.
August one of the most important months for change in trend. Many stocks will start on their long down trend.
7th to 8th quite important; 16th to 17th important; 23rd to 24th important, 29th to 30th of minor importance.
September 2nd to 3rd important; 16th to 17th important, should be bottom of a panicky decline. 21st to 24th
important for top; 27th and 28th important for bottom of a big break.
October 2nd; 8th to 9th; 18th to 20th very important, - which stocks which start to decline and go with them; 26th to
28th minor importance.
November 10th to 22nd a very important period for wide fluctuations. Airplanes, radio and some electrical
stocks may have sharp advances. Other important dates for changes are 1st to 2nd, 17th to 19th, and 24th to 25th.
December 1st to 2nd important; 16th to 17th of minor importance; 23rd to 24th greater activity and of major
importance.
The above dates are not only important for changes in trend and times when bottoms and tops should be
reached, but on these dates important news is indicated and some will be of a sudden, unexpected nature, at
times favorable and at other times unfavorable, but causing stocks to be active and fluctuate, making tops and
bottoms and changing trend.
The following dates should be watched for important changes in the major trend of both Industrial and Railroad
stocks. If any stock makes top or bottom around any of these dates, you can expect a reversal in trend,
especially if there is a sharp decline or a sharp advance around these dates: Feb 8th to 10th, March 21st to 23rd,
May 3rd to 7th, June 20th to 24th, August 3rd to 8th, Sept 21st to 24th, Nov. 8th to 11th, Dec. 20th to 24th. These dates
are based upon a permanent cycle, which does not change. Important dates are based upon a permanent cycle,
which does not change. Important tops and bottoms are made in many stocks every year around these times.
Watch the stocks that reach extreme high or low levels around these dates.
DATES FOR ACTIVITY AND WIDE FLUCTUATIONS
The following dates indicate times when stocks will be very active and have wide fluctuations, making tops and
bottoms. While all stocks will not make tops and bottoms around these dates, some of the most active ones will
and if you watch the ones that turn around these dates, it will prove helpful in your trading:
January 5th to 7th, 12th to 15th, 18th to 24th
February 9th to 12th, 20th to 22nd, and 27th to 28th.
March 10th to 11th, very important for change in trend; 21st to 22nd important; 28th to 29th another very important
date for change.
April 3rd, 9th to 10th, 13th to 15th, 21st to 23rd.
May 3rd to 4th watch stocks that make top around this date; 9th to 11th another important date when some
stocks will make bottom and other stocks will make top. 22nd to 23rd and 29th to 31st very important dates for
change in trend; watch for stocks that will make top around this date.
June 1st to 2nd quite important; 7th to 10th another important change; 21st to 23rd a more important change.
July 3rd to 5th very important for change in trend; 9th to 10th also quite important; 21st to 24th more important.
August one of the most important months for change in trend. Many stocks will start on their long down trend.
7th to 8th quite important; 16th to 17th important; 23rd to 24th important, 29th to 30th of minor importance.
September 2nd to 3rd important; 16th to 17th important, should be bottom of a panicky decline. 21st to 24th
important for top; 27th and 28th important for bottom of a big break.
October 2nd; 8th to 9th; 18th to 20th very important, - which stocks which start to decline and go with them; 26th to
28th minor importance.
November 10th to 22nd a very important period for wide fluctuations. Airplanes, radio and some electrical
stocks may have sharp advances. Other important dates for changes are 1st to 2nd, 17th to 19th, and 24th to 25th.
December 1st to 2nd important; 16th to 17th of minor importance; 23rd to 24th greater activity and of major
importance.
The above dates are not only important for changes in trend and times when bottoms and tops should be
reached, but on these dates important news is indicated and some will be of a sudden, unexpected nature, at
times favorable and at other times unfavorable, but causing stocks to be active and fluctuate, making tops and
bottoms and changing trend.
Thursday, January 7, 2010
5 EMA TRADE
Here is a simple method based on 5 day EMA on highs and lows and your blog readers may want to investigate further. Signals are generated at EOD and executed on the next day. The position is closed until the next signal comes. There is also the option of stop and reverse ( instead of just closing a trade.)
Please see the chart below:
Please see the chart below: